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MAIA

MAIA Biotechnology, Inc.
MAIA stock: dilution — what the SEC filings say, updated every weekday morning.
NYSE · Pharmaceutical Preparations · EDGAR filings (CIK 1878313) · 3 signals · 1 setups · updated Sep 22, 2026

What the filings say Pressure ▼

The filings point to a discounted equity raise ahead — dilution for existing holders. Next thing to watch: a 424B or offering 8-K.

Radar 57 (elevated attention) · dilution pressure elevated · listing risk low · governance risk low · runway 0.0 mo · strongest signal: Runway < 6 months (Jun 30, 2026)

What would confirm: 424B5/8-K announcing an offering, ATM sales disclosed in next 10-Q, or Form 4 sales by insiders ahead of it.
What would prove it wrong: Non-dilutive cash event (asset sale, grant, milestone payment), OCF turning positive, or shelf withdrawn (RW).

Direction is stated for existing shareholders (▼ more shares / survival or listing risk; ▲ insiders or holders buying). It is a characterization of the filings, not a forecast or a recommendation.

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57Radar · attention score (0–100)
55Dilution pressure · financing + balance sheet
0Listing risk · exchange standards
0Governance risk · reporting, auditor, going concern

Setups

Independent filings stitched into a thesis, each with what would confirm and what would prove it wrong.

Forced-raise setup Pressure ▼ strength 0.85

The filings point to a discounted equity raise ahead — dilution for existing holders. Next thing to watch: a 424B or offering 8-K. Cash need (runway < 6 months) coexists with live selling machinery (shelf effective). Base case is a discounted raise; the question is when, not if.

Would confirm: 424B5/8-K announcing an offering, ATM sales disclosed in next 10-Q, or Form 4 sales by insiders ahead of it.
Would invalidate: Non-dilutive cash event (asset sale, grant, milestone payment), OCF turning positive, or shelf withdrawn (RW).
Runway < 6 monthsShelf effective

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Balance sheet (XBRL)

$0cash + short-term investments as of Jun 30, 2026
0.0 moestimated runway (annualized 180-day YTD operating cash flow [companyfacts])
$20.7Mstockholders' equity as of Jun 30, 2026
$48.9Mpublic float (10-K cover)
60.8Mshares outstanding as of Aug 10, 2026 · was 60.8M May 11, 2026

Runway = liquidity ÷ monthly operating burn at the latest reported period · balance sheet 84 days old. A financing after the balance-sheet date is the main reason a figure can be stale — check the timeline below for offerings since then.

Signal timeline

Last 30 days of filing signals plus current balance-sheet flags, newest first. ▼ pressure · ▲ support · hover a score for its components; every row links to the filing.

DateSignalEvidenceScore
Sep 15, 2026· Form 4 burst 5 Form 4 filings in 30 days filing 15
Aug 28, 2026▼ Shelf effective EFFECT notice 2026-08-28 filing 21
Jun 30, 2026▼ Runway < 6 months ~0.0 months runway: liquidity $0 as of 2026-06-30, burn $24,457,804/yr (annualized 180-day YTD operating cash flow [companyfacts]) filing 46

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