OXSQ

Oxford Square Capital Corp.

Nasdaq · · EDGAR filings (CIK 1259429) · 3 signals · 1 setups · updated Aug 16, 2026

What the filings say Pressure ▼

The filings point to a discounted equity raise ahead — dilution for existing holders. Next thing to watch: a 424B or offering 8-K.

Radar 64 (elevated attention) · dilution pressure elevated · listing risk low · governance risk low · runway 7.2 mo · strongest signal: ATM program (Jul 31, 2026)

What would confirm: 424B5/8-K announcing an offering, ATM sales disclosed in next 10-Q, or Form 4 sales by insiders ahead of it.
What would prove it wrong: Non-dilutive cash event (asset sale, grant, milestone payment), OCF turning positive, or shelf withdrawn (RW).

Direction is stated for existing shareholders (▼ more shares / survival or listing risk; ▲ insiders or holders buying). It is a characterization of the filings, not a forecast or a recommendation.

64Radar · attention score (0–100)

67Dilution pressure · financing + balance sheet

0Listing risk · exchange standards

0Governance risk · reporting, auditor, going concern

Setups

Independent filings stitched into a thesis, each with what would confirm and what would prove it wrong.

Forced-raise setup Pressure ▼ strength 0.80

The filings point to a discounted equity raise ahead — dilution for existing holders. Next thing to watch: a 424B or offering 8-K. Cash need (runway 6–12 months) coexists with live selling machinery (atm program). Base case is a discounted raise; the question is when, not if.

Would confirm: 424B5/8-K announcing an offering, ATM sales disclosed in next 10-Q, or Form 4 sales by insiders ahead of it.
Would invalidate: Non-dilutive cash event (asset sale, grant, milestone payment), OCF turning positive, or shelf withdrawn (RW).

ATM programRunway 6–12 months

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12-month history

Every signal and setup for OXSQ back a year, not just 30 days — see how the current setup built.

Full analyst notes

What we noticed, evidence with links, what could prove us wrong, red-team caveats.

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Balance sheet (XBRL)

$34.6Mcash + short-term investments as of Jun 30, 2026

7.2 moestimated runway (annualized 180-day YTD operating cash flow [companyfacts])

$135.0Mstockholders' equity as of Jun 30, 2026

$155.5Mpublic float (10-K cover)

107.7Mshares outstanding as of Aug 7, 2026 · was 93.5M Apr 30, 2026

Runway = liquidity ÷ monthly operating burn at the latest reported period · balance sheet 47 days old. A financing after the balance-sheet date is the main reason a figure can be stale — check the timeline below for offerings since then.

Signal timeline

Last 30 days of filing signals plus current balance-sheet flags, newest first. ▼ pressure · ▲ support · hover a score for its components; every row links to the filing.

Date	Signal	Evidence	Score
Jul 31, 2026	▼ ATM program	“atm” language in 8-K (EX-99.1) filed 2026-07-31 filing	41
Jul 31, 2026	▼ ATM program	“atm” language in 8-K (EX-99.1) filed 2026-07-31 filing	41
Jun 30, 2026	▼ Runway 6–12 months	~7.2 months runway: liquidity $34,608,042 as of 2026-06-30, burn $57,753,177/yr (annualized 180-day YTD operating cash flow [companyfacts]) filing	26

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